Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RUNE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-26 0.385739 0.511769 0.656998 0.834273 1.042378 1.276582 1.557698
2025-11-02 0.217182 0.366364 0.565071 0.837642 1.190479 1.621063 2.175193
2025-11-09 0.111902 0.251450 0.469473 0.804846 1.278776 1.897557 2.738744
2025-11-16 0.065747 0.197956 0.437654 0.843443 1.457091 2.298712 3.487351
2025-11-23 0.034046 0.147643 0.391127 0.845328 1.577604 2.627421 4.160104
2025-11-30 0.020442 0.125466 0.385010 0.906812 1.788160 3.091408 5.037452
2025-12-07 0.010870 0.102804 0.368458 0.944357 1.961387 3.509036 5.867742
2025-12-14 0.004730 0.080445 0.342373 0.956982 2.091753 3.867223 6.626126
2025-12-21 0.001370 0.058681 0.306093 0.940216 2.167408 4.142954 7.273148
2025-12-28 0.000321 0.046013 0.287892 0.955556 2.297174 4.505260 8.056329
2026-01-04 0.000020 0.034611 0.265996 0.957023 2.399609 4.826470 8.786369
2026-01-11 NaN 0.023177 0.233654 0.925693 2.435892 5.040261 9.358926
2026-01-18 NaN 0.015052 0.206458 0.901449 2.485322 5.281915 9.989879
2026-01-25 NaN 0.010661 0.192667 0.909113 2.597798 5.633217 10.801209
2026-02-01 NaN 0.006028 0.167174 0.876418 2.623979 5.838286 11.389744
2026-02-08 NaN 0.004775 0.166651 0.918424 2.809200 6.323385 12.431862
2026-02-15 NaN 0.002970 0.154655 0.920968 2.909389 6.663181 13.250595
2026-02-22 NaN 0.002650 0.161201 0.986480 3.151143 7.259501 14.492470
2026-03-01 NaN 0.001999 0.160372 1.026428 3.338272 7.763865 15.595870
2026-03-08 NaN 0.001226 0.152579 1.039883 3.466393 8.166145 16.541842
2026-03-15 NaN 0.000528 0.137532 1.022155 3.521310 8.437307 17.279341
2026-03-22 NaN 0.000269 0.131751 1.038431 3.655669 8.856198 18.265803
2026-03-29 NaN 0.000094 0.123008 1.039996 3.754533 9.211654 19.153082